Nature is indifferent between a successful heuristic and a true theory; but we cannot be, or our justification for saying so could be that this comprised part of a successful heuristic.
It is incoherent - for instance - to try to support our belief that the future will, in some way, be like the past by saying that it is a component of a successful heuristic. "It's been OK so far" isn't a ground for complacency just because we've got away with it up until now ...
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